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Risk FactorsLong-Term ImpactFAQMaterials & Knowledge Hub
Patients may face complications after acute infectionEvidence shows that COVID-19 risks extend well beyond the acute phase. After the initial infection, patients may face1,2: Cumulative impact from repeat infections Significant lingering health problems Increased rates of hospitalization and death Health complications from COVID-19 are also known as post–COVID-19 condition (PCC) and include long COVID3 What causes PCC? Step 1: Virus enters the body

SARS-CoV-2 enters host cells through interaction of its spike protein with the ACE2 receptor.

These receptors are highly expressed in tissues throughout the body, including the following organ systems4,5:

  • Respiratory 
  • Cardiovascular
  • Renal 
  • Endocrine
How SARS-CoV-2 enters host cells
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Step 2: Inflammation begins

Unchecked viral replication can trigger systemic inflammation across the heart, lungs, brain, kidneys, and vascular system.

This can cause endothelial impairment, which can lead to4-6:

  • Vascular injury
  • Clotting disruption
Endothelial dysfunction
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Step 3: Damage spreads

This systemic inflammation and damage start during the acute phase of infection and lay the groundwork for PCCs, including long COVID.

COVID-19 can increase the risk of:

  • New-onset medical conditions
  • Exacerbation of existing conditions
  • Persistent symptoms


Severe COVID-19 can increase these risks further.4,5,7,8

PCC and organ damage
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PCC and long-term damage Slower viral clearance has been linked to greater symptom severity and higher risk of post–COVID-19 conditions like long COVID.* Antiviral treatments are designed to help stop the virus from multiplying.8-10
*Specific to fatigue, brain fog, shortness of breath, and gastrointestinal symptoms.9
Potential clinical progression to severe COVID-1911-14
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Cardiovascular disease (CVD)New-onset hypertension
In a meta-analysis of more than 19.2 million people, COVID-19 was associated with an additional 70% risk of new-onset hypertension within 7 months of infection compared with patients without COVID-19 (HR: 1.7; P<0.0001)15*

New-onset heart failure
In a meta-analysis of more than 21.4 million people, patients who had COVID-19 were 90% more likely to develop new-onset heart failure compared with patients who did not have COVID-19 (HR: 1.9; P<0.0001)†
Risk of heart failure was associated with age (P=0.001) and prior history of hypertension (P=0.02)16

New-onset major adverse cardiac events (MACE)
Hospitalized patients with COVID-19 were 2.3x more likely to develop new-onset MACE compared with COVID-19–negative controls up to 3.5 years following infection17‡

Exacerbation of preexisting CVD
Patients hospitalized with COVID-19 who had preexisting CVD§ were 3.3x more likely to develop myocardial injury|| compared to patients hospitalized with COVID-19 who did not have preexisting CVD (P<0.001)18¶
*Zuin, et al. conducted a systematic review and meta-analysis that summarized data from 5 retrospective investigations in a total of 19,293,346 patients.15 

†Zuin, et al. conducted a systematic review and meta-analysis that summarized data from 5 studies in a total of 21,463,173 patients.16 

‡Lu, et al. defined MACE as all-cause mortality or incidence of arrhythmias, inflammatory heart disease, thrombosis, cerebrovascular disorders, ischemic heart disease, and other cardiac disorders (defined as cardiogenic shock, cardiac arrest, heart failure, and non-ischemic cardiomyopathy).17 
§Defined as a composite of a history of coronary artery disease, heart failure or cardiomyopathy, atrial fibrillation or flutter, severe valvular disease, peripheral arterial disease, and stroke or transient ischemic attack.18
||In a multivariable model compared with patients hospitalized for COVID-19 without pre-existing disease; myocardial injury was defined as troponin greater than the upper limit of normal for each site-specific assay.18
¶Sritharan, et al. conducted an observational cohort study in Australia with a total study population of N=1567.18
Diabetes

New-onset diabetes
In a systematic review summarizing data for more than 4.3 million COVID-19 patients, ~1.4% developed new-onset diabetes, more than twice the estimated rate seen in the general US population in 202319,20*
 
Persistent diabetes
Persistent diabetes developed in 14.8% (P<0.001) of prediabetic patients hospitalized with COVID-19—3.5x the rate observed in prediabetic patients without severe COVID-19 (4.2%, P>0.05) at 5-month follow-up21

 

*El-Naas, et al. conducted a systematic review that included results from 35 studies assessing new-onset diabetes post COVID-19 for a total patient population of 4,395,528.19
Respiratory diseaseNew-onset respiratory disease
Severe COVID-19 was found to increase the risk of new-onset*

• Asthma 1.8x (P=0.019) 

• COPD 2x (P<0.0001)
compared with patients without COVID-1922,23

Exacerbation of preexisting asthma
Patients with preexisting asthma and severe COVID-19 had a 5.1x risk of severe asthma exacerbation† and 7.3x risk of death‡ compared with patients without COVID-1924§
*Meng, et al. conducted a population-based cohort study using medical records from the United Kingdom with a total study population of 842,961.22†Severe asthma exacerbation defined as emergency department visits or hospitalizations related to asthma and the simultaneous presence of oral or intravenous corticosteroid use.24‡Death due to all causes.24 
§Lee, et al. conducted a study in Korea with a total study population of N=21,888.24
Kidney diseaseNew-onset kidney injuries
At 12 months post-infection, compared with propensity score-matched influenza patients, COVID-19 patients were more likely to develop25*
  • ~3x acute kidney injury (P<0.0001)
  • ~2x advanced chronic kidney disease (stage 3-5) (P<0.0001)
Neurological conditionsNew-onset dementia 

Significantly higher rates of new-onset dementia occurred in US veterans hospitalized with severe COVID-19 (3.0%) compared with matched hospitalized COVID-19–negative US veterans (1.9%) (P<0.001)26*

Exacerbation of preexisting neurological conditions
Severe COVID-19† was associated with neurologic worsening‡ in patients with multiple sclerosis and related disorders (P=0.001)27
*During a follow-up period of 7 days to 3 months after COVID-19 diagnosis.26  

†Conway, et al. defined moderate COVID-19 as “patients requiring hospitalization but not ICU-level care” and severe COVID-19 as “patients requiring ICU-level care.” In alignment with the CDC definition of severe outcomes of COVID-19 (hospitalization, admission to the ICU, intubation or mechanical ventilation, or death), both groups were collectively referred to as severe COVID-19 within this piece.27,28
‡Neurologic symptom worsening was defined as relapse, pseudorelapse, worsening of preexisting multiple sclerosis and related disease symptoms, development of other neurologic symptoms, or new gadolinium-enhancing or T2 lesions on brain MRI.27
Persistent symptoms

Fatigue
At 6 months post-infection, fatigue was reported in 18% of hospitalized patients with COVID-19 and 26% of patients admitted to the ICU with COVID-19, 1.6x & 2.4x the rate observed in nonhospitalized patients with COVID-19 (11.1%)29

Shortness of breath
Hospitalized patients with COVID-19 had a 1.8x higher risk of being diagnosed with shortness of breath in the 6 months post-infection compared with nonhospitalized patients with COVID‑1930

Reduced walking ability
Beyond the acute phase, severe COVID-19 leaves a lasting impact, hindering31: 


  • Walking ability (P=0.001) 

  • Oxygen saturation during exercise (P=0.02)
4 months post-infection compared to mild/moderate cases*
*Guler SA, et al. is a study conducted in Switzerland with a total population N=113.31
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ACE2=angiotensin-converting enzyme 2; CDC=Centers for Disease Control and Prevention; COPD=chronic obstructive pulmonary disease; HR=hazard ratio; ICU=intensive care unit; MRI=magnetic resonance imaging; SARS-CoV-2=severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2.References:Bowe B, Xie Y, Al-Aly Z. Acute and postacute sequelae associated with SARS-CoV-2 reinfection. Nat Med. 2022;28(11):2398-2405.Preliminary estimates of COVID-19 burden. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. Updated February 6, 2026. Accessed August 31, 2026. https://www.cdc.gov/covid/php/surveillance/burden-estimates.htmlTsampasian V, Elghazaly H, Chattopadhyay R, et al. Risk factors associated with post-COVID-19 condition: a systematic review and meta-analysis. JAMA Intern Med. 2023;183(6):566-580.Ramos SG, Rattis BADC, Ottaviani G, Celes MRN, Dias EP. ACE2 down-regulation may act as a transient molecular disease causing RAAS dysregulation and tissue damage in the microcirculatory environment among COVID-19 patients. Am J Pathol. 2021;191(7):1154-1164.Gupta A, Madhavan MV, Sehgal K, et al. Extrapulmonary manifestations of COVID-19. Nat Med. 2020;26(7):1017-1032.Gustafson D, Raju S, Wu R, et al. Overcoming barriers: the endothelium as a linchpin of coronavirus disease 2019 pathogenesis? Arterioscler Thromb Vasc Biol. 2020;40(8):1818-1829.Li J, Zhou Y, Ma J, et al. The long-term health outcomes, pathophysiological mechanisms and multidisciplinary management of long COVID. Signal Transduct Target Ther. 2023;8(1):416.Long COVID signs and symptoms. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. Updated March 9, 2026. Accessed August 7, 2026. https://www.cdc.gov/long-covid/signs-symptoms/index.htmlHerbert C, Antar AAR, Broach J, et al. Relationship between acute SARS-CoV-2 viral clearance and long COVID-19 (long COVID) symptoms: a cohort study. Clin Infect Dis. 2025;80(1):82-90.Types of COVID-19 treatment. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. Updated May 8, 2026. Accessed August 7, 2026. https://www.cdc.gov/covid/treatment/index.htmlSiddiqi HK, Mehra MR. COVID-19 illness in native and immunosuppressed states: a clinical-therapeutic staging proposal. J Heart Lung Transplant. 2020;39(5):405-407.Cevik M, Kuppalli K, Kindrachuk J, Peiris M. Virology, transmission, and pathogenesis of SARS-CoV-2. BMJ. 2020;371:m3862.Clinical course: progression, management, and treatment. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. Updated February 5, 2026. Accessed August 7, 2026. https://www.cdc.gov/covid/hcp/clinical-care/management-and-treatment.htmlInterim clinical guidance for management of patients with confirmed coronavirus disease (COVID-19). Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. Updated June 30, 2020. Accessed March 12, 2026. https://stacks.cdc.gov/view/cdc/89980Zuin M, Rigatelli G, Bilato C, Pasquetto G, Mazza A. Risk of incident new-onset arterial hypertension after COVID-19 recovery: a systematic review and meta-analysis. High Blood Press Cardiovasc Prev. 2023;30(3):227-233.Zuin M, Rigatelli G, Roncon L, Pasquetto G, Bilato C. Risk of incident heart failure after COVID-19 recovery: a systematic review and meta-analysis. Heart Fail Rev. 2023;28(4):859-864.Lu JY, Lu JY, Wang SH, Duong KS, Hou W, Duong TQ. New-onset cardiovascular diseases post SARS-CoV-2 infection in an urban population in the Bronx. Sci Rep. 2024;14(1):31451.Sritharan HP, Bhatia KS, van Gaal W, Kritharides L, Chow CK, Bhindi R. Association between pre-existing cardiovascular disease, mortality and cardiovascular outcomes in hospitalised patients with COVID-19. Front Cardiovasc Med. 2023;10:1224886.El-Naas A, Hamad O, Nair S, et al. New onset of type 1 and type 2 diabetes post-COVID-19 infection: a systematic review. Emerg Microbes Infect. 2025;14(1):2492211.National Diabetes Statistics Report. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. Updated March 11, 2026. Accessed August 7, 2026. https://usdss.cdc.gov/diabetes/report.htmlXu AY, Wang SH, Duong TQ. Patients with prediabetes are at greater risk of developing diabetes 5 months postacute SARS-CoV-2 infection: a retrospective cohort study. BMJ Open Diabetes Res Care. 2023;11(3):e003257.Meng M, Wei R, Wu Y, et al. Long-term risks of respiratory diseases in patients infected with SARS-CoV-2: a longitudinal, population-based cohort study. EClinicalMedicine. 2024;69:102500.Meng M, Wei R, Wu Y, et al. Long-term risks of respiratory diseases in patients infected with SARS-CoV-2: a longitudinal, population-based cohort study. Supplement. Risks of incident respiratory outcomes in COVID-19 group compared with contemporary control group by care setting. EClinicalMedicine. 2024;69:102500. https://www.clinicalkey.com/ui/service/content/url?section=static%2fimage&eid=1-s2.0-S2589537024000798&path=25895370%2FS2589537024X00036%2FS2589537024000798%2Fmmc1.pdfLee H, Kim BG, Jeong CY, et al. Long-term impacts of COVID-19 on severe exacerbation and mortality in adult asthma: a nationwide population-based cohort study. J Allergy Clin Immunol Pract. 2024;12(7):1783-1793.Chen IW, Chang LC, Ho CN, et al. Association between COVID-19 and the development of chronic kidney disease in patients without initial acute kidney injury. Sci Rep. 2025;15(1):10924.Patel N, Dahman B, Bajaj JS. Development of new mental and physical health sequelae among US veterans after COVID-19. J Clin Med. 2022;11(12):3390.Conway SE, Healy BC, Zurawski J, et al. COVID-19 severity is associated with worsened neurological outcomes in multiple sclerosis and related disorders. Mult Scler Relat Disord. 2022;63:103946.Underlying conditions and the higher risk for severe COVID-19. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. Updated February 6, 2025. Accessed August 7, 2026. https://www.cdc.gov/covid/hcp/clinical-care/underlying-conditions.htmlTaquet M, Dercon Q, Luciano S, Geddes JR, Husain M, Harrison PJ. Incidence, co-occurrence, and evolution of long-COVID features: a 6-month retrospective cohort study of 273,618 survivors of COVID-19. Supplementary content. PLoS Med. 2021;18(9):e1003773.Zang C, Hou Y, Schenck EJ, et al. Identification of risk factors of long COVID and predictive modeling in the RECOVER EHR cohorts. Commun Med (Lond). 2024;4(1):130.Guler SA, Ebner L, Aubry-Beigelman C, et al. Pulmonary function and radiological features 4 months after COVID-19: first results from the national prospective observational Swiss COVID-19 lung study. Eur Respir J. 2021;57(4):2003690.
Severe COVID-19: the study methods clearly demonstrate that patients were hospitalized because of/due to COVID-19.
Hospitalized with COVID-19: the study methods indicate that patients were hospitalized and tested positive for COVID-19, however it is unclear whether COVID-19 was the primary diagnosis.
Compared with hospitalized patients without COVID-19 after accounting for age, race/ethnicity, sex, heart failure risk factors, and cardiovascular medications.4New-onset hypertension was also observed in 10.85% of nonhospitalized patients with COVID-19.6During a follow-up period of 7 days to 3 months after COVID-19 diagnosis.10COVID-19 inpatients (n=515,132) who were admitted on April 1, 2020, or later and discharged between April 1, 2020, and March 31, 2021, were matched 1:1 with historical controls who were admitted on April 1, 2018, or later and discharged by March 31, 2019.13Based on a multivariable logistic regression that adjusted for relevant demographic variables, comorbidities, previous treatment with renin-angiotensin-aldosterone system inhibitors, and markers of clinical severity on admission.14Defined as a composite of a history of coronary artery disease, heart failure or cardiomyopathy, atrial fibrillation or flutter, severe valvular disease, peripheral arterial disease, and stroke or transient ischemic attack. Sritharan et al. conducted an observational cohort study conducted in Australia with a total study population of N=1567.15Nonhospitalized patients with COVID-19 were 13× more likely to develop DKA compared with their non-COVID‑19 counterparts (P<0.001).17Severe asthma exacerbation defined as emergency department visits or hospitalizations related to asthma and the simultaneous presence of oral or intravenous corticosteroid use. Death due to all causes. Lee et al. conducted a study conducted in Korea with a total study population of N=21,888.18Hazard ratio adjusted for hydroxychloroquine use at index date and history of lupus nephritis. Mageau et al. conducted a matched cohort study in France with a total study population of N=158.19Conway et al. define moderate COVID-19 as patients requiring hospitalization but not ICU-level care and severe COVID-19 as patients requiring ICU-level care.20 In alignment with the CDC definition of severe outcomes of COVID-19 (hospitalization, admission to the ICU, intubation or mechanical ventilation, or death), these groups are collectively referred to as having severe COVID-19 within this piece.3,20 Neurologic worsening was defined as relapse, pseudorelapse, worsening of pre-existing multiple sclerosis and related disease symptoms, development of other neurologic symptoms, or new gadolinium-enhancing or T2 lesions on brain MRI.20
CDC=Centers for Disease Control and Prevention; DKA=diabetic ketoacidosis; ICU=intensive care unit; MRI=magnetic resonance imaging.References:CDC National Wastewater Surveillance System. Wastewater COVID-19 National and Regional Trends. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. Accessed April 3, 2025. https://www.cdc.gov/nwss/rv/COVID19-nationaltrend.htmlSigns and symptoms of long COVID. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. Updated July 11, 2024. Accessed April 3, 2025. https://www.cdc.gov/covid/long-term-effects/long-covid-signs-symptoms.htmlUnderlying conditions and the higher risk for severe COVID-19. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. Updated February 5, 2025. Accessed April 3, 2025. https://www.cdc.gov/covid/hcp/clinical-care/underlying-conditions.htmlSalah HM, Fudim M, O'Neil ST, et al. Post-recovery COVID-19 and incident heart failure in the National COVID Cohort Collaborative (N3C) study. Nat Commun. 2022;13(1):4117.Bashir H, Yildiz M, Cafardi J, et al. A review of heart failure in patients with COVID-19. Heart Fail Clin. 2023;19(2S):e1-e8.Zhang V, Fisher M, Hou W, et al. Incidence of new-onset hypertension post-COVID-19: comparison with influenza. Hypertension. 2023;80(10):2135-2148.Chourasia P, Goyal L, Kansal D, et al. Risk of new-onset diabetes mellitus as a post-COVID-19 condition and possible mechanisms: a scoping review. J Clin Med. 2023;12(3):1159.Zhang J, Shu T, Zhu R, et al. The long-term effect of COVID-19 disease severity on risk of diabetes incidence and the near 1-year follow-up outcomes among postdischarge patients in Wuhan. J Clin Med. 2022;11(11):3094.Xie Y, Al-Aly Z. Risks and burdens of incident diabetes in long COVID: a cohort study. Lancet Diabetes Endocrinol. 2022;10(5):311-321.Patel N, Dahman B, Bajaj SB. Development of new mental and physical health sequelae among US veterans after COVID-19. J Clin Med. 2022;11(12):3390.Nugent J, Aklilu A, Yamamoto Y, et al. Assessment of acute kidney injury and longitudinal kidney function after hospital discharge among patients with and without COVID-19. JAMA Netw Open. 2021;4(3):e211095.Vaidya SR, Aeddula NR. Chronic Kidney Disease. In: StatPearls. StatPearls Publishing; 2024. Accessed September 16, 2024. https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/books/NBK535404/Deitelzweig S, Luo X, Nguyen JL, et al. Thrombotic and bleeding events, mortality, and anticoagulant use among 546,656 hospitalized patients with COVID-19 in the United States: a retrospective cohort study. J Thromb Thrombolysis. 2022;53(4):766-776.Alvarez-Garcia J, Lee S, Gupta A, et al. Prognostic impact of prior heart failure in patients hospitalized with COVID-19. J Am Coll Cardiol. 2020;76(20):2334-2348.Sritharan HP, Bhatia KS, van Gaal W, et al. Association between pre-existing cardiovascular disease, mortality and cardiovascular outcomes in hospitalised patients with COVID-19. Front Cardiovasc Med. 2023;10:1224886.Xu AY, Wang SH, Duong TQ. Patients with prediabetes are at greater risk of developing diabetes 5 months postacute SARS-CoV-2 infection: a retrospective cohort study. BMJ Open Diabetes Res Care. 2023;11(3):e003257.Mehrotra-Varma S, Lu JY, Boparai MS, et al. Patients with type 1 diabetes are at elevated risk of developing new hypertension, chronic kidney disease and diabetic ketoacidosis after COVID-19: up to 40 months’ follow-up. Diabetes Obes Metab. 2024;26(11):5368-5375.Lee H, Kim BG, Jeong CY, et al. Long-term impacts of COVID-19 on severe exacerbation and mortality in adult asthma: A nationwide population-based cohort study. J Allergy Clin Immunol Pract. 2024;12(7):1783-1793.e4.Mageau A, Géradin C, Sallah K, et al. Risk of systemic lupus erythematosus flare after COVID-19 hospitalization: A matched cohort study. PLoS One. 2024;19(10):e0309316.Conway SE, Healy BC, Zurawski J, et al. COVID-19 severity is associated with worsened neurological outcomes in multiple sclerosis and related disorders. Mult Scler Relat Disord. 2022;63:103946.

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