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Risk FactorsLong-Term ImpactFAQMaterials & Knowledge Hub
Is COVID-19 still a threat?

COVID-19 hasn’t gone away. While COVID-19 incidence and severity have decreased since early pandemic days, hospitalizations still occur year round—even in patients under 65. The virus continues to threaten patient health with severe illness, hospitalization, death, and long-term health problems.1-3
 
Unlike other respiratory viruses, COVID-19 regularly surges in both winter and summer. Compared to influenza, COVID-19 has been associated with more than 3.5 times the risk of hospitalization for venous thromboembolism, such as deep vein thrombosis or pulmonary embolism.1,4,5 

In addition, underlying chronic conditions lower the body’s baseline resilience, increasing the risk of severe COVID-19 in adults of any age. And while certain underlying chronic conditions increase the risk of progressing to severe COVID-19, these conditions also put patients at risk for long-term complications, regardless of age. These risks are significantly higher for patients with multiple chronic conditions. In fact, nearly 53% of US adults aged 35 to 64 live with ≥2 chronic conditions, and this cohort faces higher COVID-19 hospitalization rates than healthy seniors aged 65 and older.6-8

How does COVID-19 severity vary among patients?

Each individual reacts differently to the COVID-19 virus, which can range from asymptomatic to severe illness. Symptoms and severity are unpredictable and can change over the course of the infection. COVID-19 severity is primarily driven by patient risk factors, not initial symptoms.6,9-11
 
High-risk factors include certain underlying conditions, age (50+), and vaccination status.
People with underlying conditions have a higher risk of severe COVID-19, regardless of age. The risk increases significantly for patients with ≥2 chronic conditions.6,7
 
Evidence also indicates that the impact of severe COVID-19 can persist well beyond the acute phase. After initial infection, patients face higher rates of hospitalization and death, significant lingering health issues, and the cumulative damage caused by repeat infections, also known as post–COVID-19 condition (PCC), which includes long COVID.3,12

Each individual reacts differently to the COVID-19 virus, which can range from asymptomatic to severe illness. Symptoms and severity are unpredictable and can change over the course of the infection. COVID-19 severity is primarily driven by patient risk factors, not initial symptoms.6,9-11
 
High-risk factors include certain underlying conditions, age (50+), and vaccination status. People with underlying conditions have a higher risk of severe COVID-19, regardless of age. The risk increases significantly for patients with ≥2 chronic conditions.6,7
 
Evidence also indicates that the impact of severe COVID-19 can persist well beyond the acute phase. After initial infection, patients face higher rates of hospitalization and death, significant lingering health issues, and the cumulative damage caused by repeat infections, also known as post–COVID-19 condition (PCC), which includes long COVID.3,12

How does COVID-19 progress and affect the body?

SARS-CoV-2 enters cells by latching its spike protein onto widespread receptors, allowing the virus to attack multiple organ systems, including the lungs, heart, kidneys, and pancreas.13,14
 
Once inside, unchecked viral replication triggers an inflammatory response across these organ systems. This severe inflammation can directly injure the endothelium, leading to vascular damage and disrupted blood clotting. This systemic damage begins during the acute phase of the infection, laying the groundwork for post–COVID-19 conditions (PCC) like long COVID.12-14
 
While many people recover quickly, others—particularly those who experienced severe COVID-19—develop PCC, which can cause widespread organ damage lasting for weeks, months, or even years.10,15

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Who has the highest risk for severe COVID-19 outcomes?

Evidence shows that patient risk factors—not initial symptoms—are the primary drivers of severe disease progression. People of all ages with certain underlying medical conditions—including diabetes, heart conditions, smoking, and obesity—face an increased risk of severe COVID-19. These risks are much higher for patients with multiple chronic conditions.6,7,11
 
People who are 50 years and older still face a higher risk of severe outcomes, along with those who are unvaccinated or not up to date on COVID-19 vaccinations. In addition, some racial and ethnic minority groups face greater healthcare barriers—like lacking insurance, transportation, or paid leave—and experience higher rates of COVID-19 hospitalization, ICU admission, and death at younger ages.6

What are risk factors for progression to severe COVID-19?

While age (50+) and vaccination status are the strongest individual risk factors for progressing to severe COVID-19, people of all ages with underlying conditions and risk factors face higher risk, including6:

  • Cardiovascular disease
  • Respiratory disease
  • Diabetes
  • Kidney disease
  • Certain racial and ethnic minority groups
  • Smoking (current or former)
  • Obesity

Patients with ≥2 chronic conditions are especially at risk for developing severe COVID-19. In addition, some racial and ethnic minority groups face greater healthcare barriers—like lacking insurance, transportation, or paid leave—and experience higher rates of COVID-19 hospitalization, ICU admission, and death at younger ages.6,7

What is post-COVID condition (PCC)?

Severe COVID-19 does more than just increase the risk of hospitalization and death—it can fundamentally alter a patient’s long-term health. The root of this lasting impact lies in how the virus attacks the body, transforming an acute infection into long-term health problems. How does it do this?10,13
 
Virus enters
SARS-CoV-2 enters human cells by latching onto specific cell receptors. Because these receptors are found throughout the body, the virus has a gateway to multiple vital organs.13,14
 
Inflammation begins
During the initial, acute phase of the infection, patients with lower baseline resilience—the body’s pre-infection ability to recover from illness—are highly vulnerable. The virus can exploit these preexisting weaknesses, causing long-term organ damage.13,14
 
Damage spreads
This widespread inflammation can contribute to severe COVID-19 and lay the groundwork for PCCs like long COVID. Instead of fully recovering, patients may experience a secondary wave of health challenges10,12,13,15:

  • New-onset medical conditions
  • Exacerbation of preexisting conditions
  • Multiorgan damage
What are the current guidelines for managing COVID-19?

Testing
Testing according to guidelines can help ensure patients are treated in a timely and appropriate manner. See CDC, FDA, and IDSA testing recommendations below.16-19

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Treatment
COVID-19 treatments may help patients at high risk for progression to severe COVID-19, even if symptoms are mild. Depending on the treatment, they must be started within 5 or 7 days of symptom onset.6,20,21

The CDC recommends prescribing antivirals to significantly decrease the risk of hospitalization and death in patients with high-risk factors. Antiviral treatments are designed to help stop the virus from multiplying.6,22

Slower viral clearance has been linked to greater symptom severity and higher risk of post–COVID-19 conditions like long COVID.23
 

*Strong recommendation, moderate certainty of evidence.19
†Conditional recommendation, low certainty of evidence.19
‡Conditional recommendation, very low certainty of evidence.19
§Strong recommendation, moderate certainty of evidence.19
Identify Risk Stay up to date on risk factors for severe COVID-19 See who’s at risk Loading Long-Term Impact Severe COVID-19 can leave lasting damage Know the impact Loading

CDC=Centers for Disease Control and Prevention; FDA=US Food and Drug Administration; ICU=intensive care unit; IDSA=Infectious Diseases Society of America; SARS-CoV-2=severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2.

Materials Access helpful COVID-19 information Explore resources Loading
Knowledge Hub Hear from COVID-19 experts Watch videos Loading
CDC=Centers for Disease Control and Prevention; FDA=US Food and Drug Administration; ICU=intensive care unit; IDSA=Infectious Diseases Society of America; SARS-CoV-2=severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2.References:Respiratory Virus Hospitalization Surveillance Network (RESP-NET). Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. Updated January 30, 2026. Accessed August 18, 2026. https://www.cdc.gov/resp-net/dashboard/index.htmlData on File. Hospitalizations Assessment. Pfizer Inc.; 2026.Bowe B, Xie Y, Al-Aly Z. Acute and postacute sequelae associated with SARS-CoV-2 reinfection. Nat Med. 2022;28(11):2398-2405.2025-2026 Respiratory Disease Season Outlook. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. August 25, 2025. Accessed August 7, 2026. https://www.cdc.gov/cfa-qualitative-assessments/php/data-research/season-outlook25-26.htmlLo Re V 3rd, Dutcher SK, Connolly JG, et al. Risk of admission to hospital with arterial or venous thromboembolism among patients diagnosed in the ambulatory setting with COVID-19 compared with influenza: retrospective cohort study. BMJ Med. 2023;2(1):e000421.Underlying conditions and the higher risk for severe COVID-19. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. Updated February 6, 2025. Accessed August 7, 2026. https://www.cdc.gov/covid/hcp/clinical-care/underlying-conditions.htmlErnst FR, McGrath L, Reimbaeva M, et al. Impact of risk stacking on COVID-19-related healthcare utilization: a real-world retrospective cohort study. Infect Dis Ther. 2026;15(1):327-343.Watson KB, Wiltz JL, Nhim K, Kaufmann RB, Thomas CW, Greenlund KJ. Trends in multiple chronic conditions among US adults, by life stage, behavioral risk factor surveillance system, 2013-2023. Prev Chronic Dis. 2025;22:E15.Long COVID basics. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. Updated May 6, 2026. Accessed August 28, 2026. https://www.cdc.gov/long-covid/about/index.htmlLong COVID signs and symptoms. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. Updated March 9, 2026. Accessed August 7, 2026. https://www.cdc.gov/long-covid/signs-symptoms/index.htmlClinical presentation. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. Updated February 5, 2026. Accessed August 7, 2026. https://www.cdc.gov/covid/hcp/clinical-care/covid19-presentation.htmlTsampasian V, Elghazaly H, Chattopadhyay R, et al. Risk factors associated with post-COVID-19 condition: a systematic review and meta-analysis. JAMA Intern Med. 2023;183(6):566-580.Ramos SG, Rattis BADC, Ottaviani G, Celes MRN, Dias EP. ACE2 down-regulation may act as a transient molecular disease causing RAAS dysregulation and tissue damage in the microcirculatory environment among COVID-19 patients. Am J Pathol. 2021;191(7):1154-1164.Gupta A, Madhavan MV, Sehgal K, et al. Extrapulmonary manifestations of COVID-19. Nat Med. 2020;26(7):1017-1032.Li J, Zhou Y, Ma J, et al. The long-term health outcomes, pathophysiological mechanisms and multidisciplinary management of long COVID. Signal Transduct Target Ther. 2023;8(1):416.Testing for COVID-19. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. Updated March 10, 2025. Accessed August 28, 2026. https://www.cdc.gov/covid/testing/index.htmlSimilarities and differences between flu and COVID-19. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. Updated September 17, 2024. Accessed August 7, 2026. https://www.cdc.gov/flu/about/flu-vs-covid19.htmlOverview of testing for SARS-CoV-2. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. Updated August 29, 2024. Accessed August 31, 2026. https://www.cdc.gov/covid/hcp/clinical-care/overview-testing-sars-cov-2.htmlHayden MK, Hanson KE, Englund JA, et al. The Infectious Diseases Society of America Guidelines on the diagnosis of COVID-19: antigen testing (January 2023). Clin Infect Dis. 2024;78(7):e350-e384.Clinical guidance for outpatients with acute respiratory illness at higher risk of severe COVID-19 and/or influenza. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. Updated December 19, 2025. Accessed August 31, 2026. https://www.cdc.gov/flu/hcp/clinical-guidance/testing-guidance-for-outpatient.htmlClinical course: progression, management, and treatment. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. Updated February 5, 2026. Accessed August 7, 2026. https://www.cdc.gov/covid/hcp/clinical-care/management-and-treatment.htmlTypes of COVID-19 treatment. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. Updated February 5, 2026. Accessed August 7, 2026. https://www.cdc.gov/covid/treatment/index.htmlHerbert C, Antar AAR, Broach J, et al. Relationship between acute SARS-CoV-2 viral clearance and long COVID-19 (long COVID) symptoms: a cohort study. Clin Infect Dis. 2025;80(1):82-90.
Severe COVID-19: the study methods clearly demonstrate that patients were hospitalized because of/due to COVID-19.
Hospitalized with COVID-19: the study methods indicate that patients were hospitalized and tested positive for COVID-19, however it is unclear whether COVID-19 was the primary diagnosis.
Compared with hospitalized patients without COVID-19 after accounting for age, race/ethnicity, sex, heart failure risk factors, and cardiovascular medications.4New-onset hypertension was also observed in 10.85% of nonhospitalized patients with COVID-19.6During a follow-up period of 7 days to 3 months after COVID-19 diagnosis.10COVID-19 inpatients (n=515,132) who were admitted on April 1, 2020, or later and discharged between April 1, 2020, and March 31, 2021, were matched 1:1 with historical controls who were admitted on April 1, 2018, or later and discharged by March 31, 2019.13Based on a multivariable logistic regression that adjusted for relevant demographic variables, comorbidities, previous treatment with renin-angiotensin-aldosterone system inhibitors, and markers of clinical severity on admission.14Defined as a composite of a history of coronary artery disease, heart failure or cardiomyopathy, atrial fibrillation or flutter, severe valvular disease, peripheral arterial disease, and stroke or transient ischemic attack. Sritharan et al. conducted an observational cohort study conducted in Australia with a total study population of N=1567.15Nonhospitalized patients with COVID-19 were 13× more likely to develop DKA compared with their non-COVID‑19 counterparts (P<0.001).17Severe asthma exacerbation defined as emergency department visits or hospitalizations related to asthma and the simultaneous presence of oral or intravenous corticosteroid use. Death due to all causes. Lee et al. conducted a study conducted in Korea with a total study population of N=21,888.18Hazard ratio adjusted for hydroxychloroquine use at index date and history of lupus nephritis. Mageau et al. conducted a matched cohort study in France with a total study population of N=158.19Conway et al. define moderate COVID-19 as patients requiring hospitalization but not ICU-level care and severe COVID-19 as patients requiring ICU-level care.20 In alignment with the CDC definition of severe outcomes of COVID-19 (hospitalization, admission to the ICU, intubation or mechanical ventilation, or death), these groups are collectively referred to as having severe COVID-19 within this piece.3,20 Neurologic worsening was defined as relapse, pseudorelapse, worsening of pre-existing multiple sclerosis and related disease symptoms, development of other neurologic symptoms, or new gadolinium-enhancing or T2 lesions on brain MRI.20
CDC=Centers for Disease Control and Prevention; DKA=diabetic ketoacidosis; ICU=intensive care unit; MRI=magnetic resonance imaging.References:CDC National Wastewater Surveillance System. Wastewater COVID-19 National and Regional Trends. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. Accessed April 3, 2025. https://www.cdc.gov/nwss/rv/COVID19-nationaltrend.htmlSigns and symptoms of long COVID. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. Updated July 11, 2024. Accessed April 3, 2025. https://www.cdc.gov/covid/long-term-effects/long-covid-signs-symptoms.htmlUnderlying conditions and the higher risk for severe COVID-19. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. Updated February 5, 2025. Accessed April 3, 2025. https://www.cdc.gov/covid/hcp/clinical-care/underlying-conditions.htmlSalah HM, Fudim M, O'Neil ST, et al. Post-recovery COVID-19 and incident heart failure in the National COVID Cohort Collaborative (N3C) study. Nat Commun. 2022;13(1):4117.Bashir H, Yildiz M, Cafardi J, et al. A review of heart failure in patients with COVID-19. Heart Fail Clin. 2023;19(2S):e1-e8.Zhang V, Fisher M, Hou W, et al. Incidence of new-onset hypertension post-COVID-19: comparison with influenza. Hypertension. 2023;80(10):2135-2148.Chourasia P, Goyal L, Kansal D, et al. Risk of new-onset diabetes mellitus as a post-COVID-19 condition and possible mechanisms: a scoping review. J Clin Med. 2023;12(3):1159.Zhang J, Shu T, Zhu R, et al. The long-term effect of COVID-19 disease severity on risk of diabetes incidence and the near 1-year follow-up outcomes among postdischarge patients in Wuhan. J Clin Med. 2022;11(11):3094.Xie Y, Al-Aly Z. Risks and burdens of incident diabetes in long COVID: a cohort study. Lancet Diabetes Endocrinol. 2022;10(5):311-321.Patel N, Dahman B, Bajaj SB. Development of new mental and physical health sequelae among US veterans after COVID-19. J Clin Med. 2022;11(12):3390.Nugent J, Aklilu A, Yamamoto Y, et al. Assessment of acute kidney injury and longitudinal kidney function after hospital discharge among patients with and without COVID-19. JAMA Netw Open. 2021;4(3):e211095.Vaidya SR, Aeddula NR. Chronic Kidney Disease. In: StatPearls. StatPearls Publishing; 2024. Accessed September 16, 2024. https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/books/NBK535404/Deitelzweig S, Luo X, Nguyen JL, et al. Thrombotic and bleeding events, mortality, and anticoagulant use among 546,656 hospitalized patients with COVID-19 in the United States: a retrospective cohort study. J Thromb Thrombolysis. 2022;53(4):766-776.Alvarez-Garcia J, Lee S, Gupta A, et al. Prognostic impact of prior heart failure in patients hospitalized with COVID-19. J Am Coll Cardiol. 2020;76(20):2334-2348.Sritharan HP, Bhatia KS, van Gaal W, et al. Association between pre-existing cardiovascular disease, mortality and cardiovascular outcomes in hospitalised patients with COVID-19. Front Cardiovasc Med. 2023;10:1224886.Xu AY, Wang SH, Duong TQ. Patients with prediabetes are at greater risk of developing diabetes 5 months postacute SARS-CoV-2 infection: a retrospective cohort study. BMJ Open Diabetes Res Care. 2023;11(3):e003257.Mehrotra-Varma S, Lu JY, Boparai MS, et al. Patients with type 1 diabetes are at elevated risk of developing new hypertension, chronic kidney disease and diabetic ketoacidosis after COVID-19: up to 40 months’ follow-up. Diabetes Obes Metab. 2024;26(11):5368-5375.Lee H, Kim BG, Jeong CY, et al. Long-term impacts of COVID-19 on severe exacerbation and mortality in adult asthma: A nationwide population-based cohort study. J Allergy Clin Immunol Pract. 2024;12(7):1783-1793.e4.Mageau A, Géradin C, Sallah K, et al. Risk of systemic lupus erythematosus flare after COVID-19 hospitalization: A matched cohort study. PLoS One. 2024;19(10):e0309316.Conway SE, Healy BC, Zurawski J, et al. COVID-19 severity is associated with worsened neurological outcomes in multiple sclerosis and related disorders. Mult Scler Relat Disord. 2022;63:103946.

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